The Tennessee Volunteers are 4-0 straight up and 3-1 against the spread in their last four home games against SEC opponents. The Volunteers face the top dog in the SEC this Saturday hosting the Alabama Crimson Tide.
Tennessee is a 13-point underdog at home in Knoxville at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. In their last five games as an underdog, the Volunteers have covered the spread four times and pulled off three outright upsets.
The Volunteers picked up their first loss of the season last Saturday at Texas AM 45-38, covering the spread as a 7.5-point underdog to bring their season record to 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS. Tennessee was able to erase a 21-point deficit to force overtime on the Aggies but fell short of adding another miraculous comeback win to their wild 2016 season.
Joshua Dobbs passed for 398 yards in the loss, and will need to have his strongest performance of the season this week if the Volunteers hope to upset Alabama.
Tennessee has been a double-digit home underdog seven times since 2010. The Volunteers are 0-7 SU and 2-4-1 ATS in those seven games per the OddsShark College Football Database, including three straight losses to Alabama by at least 14 points.
Alabama continued its dominance over conference foes with Saturday’s 49-30 win over Arkansas, improving to 18-1 SU and 9-9-1 ATS in its last 19 games against SEC teams.
The Crimson Tide are 18-0 SU over their last 18 games overall, 11-0 SU in their last 11 games played in Week 7 and 9-0 SU in their last nine games against Tennessee. The defending champions have also enjoyed ATS success against Tennessee with a 7-3 ATS mark in the last 10 meetings between these two teams.
The total for Saturday’s Crimson Tide vs. Volunteers matchup is set at 57 points. The UNDER is 7-3 in Alabama’s last 10 October games.
This game has lost a bit of its luster after Tennessee’s loss to Texas AM last week, but the Volunteers are still very much in control of their own destiny. Alabama hasn’t had a perfect campaign since 2009, and Tennessee hopes to be the team that causes the Crimson Tide to slip up this season.