In the first state-by-state polling data released since Donald Trump‘s campaign was rocked by a video of him graphically describing forcing himself on women, Hillary Clinton has pulled into the lead in nearly every swing state and would win the Electoral College handily if the election were held now.
According to the UPI/CVoter 50-plus-1 state-by-state analysis released Monday, Clinton holds a lead in every one of the states previously considered a “swing” state. She also has closed the gap in Georgia, moving it into the tossup column.
If the election were held today, Clinton would win the Electoral College in a landslide, 347 to 191. It requires 270 electoral votes to win the presidency.
Clinton now leads in the swing states of Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. While several of these states are still in the tossup category due to their tight standing earlier in the race, in several of them Clinton has opened up a lead of more than 5 percentage points. They are Colorado, Michigan and Minnesota. In New Hampshire and Wisconsin, Clinton’s lead is just shy of 5 points.
The only swing state where Trump leads is Georgia, a state he was wining comfortably one week ago.
The poll shows Trump’s once formidable position crumbling in the wake of Friday’s video release, where he was captured in 2005 talking into a hot microphone describing in vulgar terms his attempt to have sex with a married woman and groping and kissing other women who let him do it because he is “a star.”
The state-by-state data is in accord with Monday’s UPI/CVoter national tracking poll, which showed Clinton pulling into a lead of 5 percentage points.
Both polls include some data recorded after Sunday’s debate. It also includes some data from before the video was released, meaning the full effect of the video, Trump’s response and Sunday’s debate is not yet known.