Lawro’s FA Cup predictions v The Libertines

BBC Sport expert Mark Lawrenson

BBC Sport’s football expert Mark Lawrenson is pitting his wits against a different guest each week this season.

Lawro’s opponents for the FA Cup fourth-round weekend are indie-rock band The Libertines.

Doherty is looking forward to taking on Lawro, saying: “He was ‘tache-tastic man – part of that Liverpool team that basically won everything, always. Those were the days, when players used to roll their socks down.”

Pete Doherty is well known for being a QPR fan, while band-mates Carl Barat and Gary Powell both support Arsenal.

“The closest QPR have come to winning the FA Cup was when we lost in the final to Tottenham in 1982,” Doherty told BBC Sport. “I was three and I remember crying a lot afterwards, which was strange because I was a happy child, but even then I knew what was what.

“It is a hard thing for me to admit, because I am not a Spurs fan, but the best FA Cup final song is ‘Spurs are on their way to Wembley’ by Chas and Dave in 1981.

“There is a certain beautiful melodic lyrical quality to the lyrics ‘Ossie’s going to Wembley, his knees have gone all trembley, tra-la-la-la, tra-la-la-la’.”

The Libertines did not manage a prediction for Derby vs Man Utd on Friday night, and think Nottingham Forest’s tie with Watford will be postponed because of a waterlogged pitch (which seems especially unlikely because very little rain is forecast in Nottingham in the build-up to the game).

But they back the Gunners and Manchester City to reach round five, and think QPR’s west London rivals Chelsea will lose 6-0 at MK Dons.

“All form goes out of the window on FA Cup day,” added Doherty.

* Away team to win at home in the replay

** Postponement predicted (because of a waterlogged pitch)

Our scoring system has changed this season and a correct result (picking a win, draw or defeat) is now worth 10 points. The exact score earns 40 points.

Last week, Lawro got two correct results from 10 matches, with no perfect scores.

His score of 20 points saw him beaten by Ride Along 2 stars Ice Cube Kevin Hart, who picked three correct results with two perfect scores for a total of 90 points.

Make your own predictions now, compare them to Lawro and other fans and try to take your team to the top of the leaderboard by playing the BBC Sport Predictor game.


All kick-offs 15:00 GMT unless otherwise stated


Derby County v Man Utd (19:55 GMT)

This match is live on BBC One and the BBC website. There will also be a live text commentary.

Derby have hit a bit of a rocky patch in the Championship with no wins in their past five league games but I still do not think this will be easy for Manchester United.

Media playback is not supported on this device

Five of the best FA Cup dribbles

A lot will depend on the team that United boss Louis van Gaal puts out but I just do not see United going there and rolling the Rams over.

Derby are a good side by Championship standards – they will be very competitive, they will play at a high tempo and they will cause United some problems.

Lawro’s prediction: 1-1 (United to win the replay)

The Libertines: No prediction made


Colchester v Tottenham (12:45 GMT)

Colchester are on a dreadful run in League One, and are bottom of the table without a league win since 20 October.

I would expect Tottenham to rest most of their first-choice team, but I would still expect them to win comfortably.

Lawro’s prediction: 0-2

The Libertines: 2-3

Arsenal v Burnley

Burnley are near the top of the Championship, playing really well and scoring lots of goals.

Media playback is not supported on this device

Watch Highlights of Arsenal victory in FA Cup final

So I just don’t see Clarets boss Sean Dyche risking too many players at Emirates Stadium when promotion is their priority and they have a chance of an automatic spot.

Arsenal manager Arsene Wenger will rotate too and, depending on what they need, give people either a run-out or a rest but I would expect to see the holders in the hat for the fifth round.

Lawro’s prediction: 2-0

The Libertines: 3-1

Aston Villa v Man City

Aston Villa are unbeaten for three games in the league and five in total including their two games against Wycombe in round three.

So they are on by far their best run of the season – although that is hardly much of an achievement.

There is nothing wrong with Villa’s spirit and their manager Remi Garde is slowly working out his squad. They are improving but, even so, I do not see them getting past Manchester City.

City are already going to Wembley for the Capital One Cup final but I think they will be aiming to win the FA Cup too, along with the Premier League and Champions League.

There is a lot of talk that Pep Guardiola will come in as manager in the summer and my feeling is that current boss Manuel Pellegrini wants to go out in a blaze of glory.

He is thinking ‘let’s go for all four competitions’, a bit like Jupp Heynkes did when he won the treble at Bayern Munich in 2013, the season before Guardiola replaced him.

Lawro’s prediction: 0-2

The Libertines: 1-3

Bolton v Leeds

Bolton are another team to have improved of late but, again, that is not saying a lot and they remain bottom of the Championship.

If Wanderers get through and get United or Arsenal in the next round then that would be a massive boost for their finances, but I can’t see it.

Leeds’ form has been up and down but they will take a lot of fans to the Macron Stadium and play a strong team, and I think they will shade it.

Lawro’s prediction: 1-2

The Libertines: 1-0

Bury v Hull

David Flitcroft has done a great job as Bury boss, because it really is life on a shoestring at Gigg Lane.

But it is asking a lot for them to beat Hull, who are top of the Championship after winning four league games in a row.

Lawro’s prediction: 1-2

The Libertines: 0-2

Crystal Palace v Stoke

I was at Anfield on Tuesday night and Stoke were the better side, and extremely unlucky to be knocked out by Liverpool in their Capital One Cup semi-final.

Media playback is not supported on this device

Best goals from FA Cup replays

Crystal Palace are on a poor run, but I think this one will end in the result neither team wants, which is a draw.

Lawro’s prediction: 1-1 (Stoke to win replay)

The Libertines: 1-1 (Stoke to win replay)

Nottingham Forest v Watford

Nottingham Forest have not lost since 21 November and their manager Dougie Freedman has shored them up defensively.

Watford stopped the rot by beating Newcastle last weekend but this looks like being a close game.

Lawro’s prediction: 0-1

The Libertines: P-P (Postponement predicted, because of waterlogged pitch)

Oxford United v Blackburn Rovers

My old team Oxford are having a great time at the moment.

As well as knocking out Premier League side Swansea in round three, they had an important win last week at Portsmouth, who are one of their rivals for promotion out of League Two.

Media playback is not supported on this device

FA Cup: Oxford United 3-2 Swansea highlights

Blackburn are on a bad run with no wins in their past seven Championship games but, unlike Swansea, they will be ready to scrap at the Kassam Stadium.

Lawro’s prediction: 1-2

The Libertines: 4-0

Portsmouth v Bournemouth

What a great tie this is, and there will be a cracking atmosphere at Fratton Park.

Portsmouth are going well in League Two but Bournemouth should have too much quality for them.

Lawro’s prediction: 1-2

The Libertines: 2-2 (Bournemouth to win replay)

Reading v Walsall

Walsall play some nice football under Sean O’Driscoll, who has kept them ticking along nicely at the top of League One since he took over from Dean Smith before Christmas.

Reading’s results in the Championship have been so-so since Brian McDermott took charge at a similar time to O’Driscoll, but they are at home and I think they will get through.

Lawro’s prediction: 2-1

The Libertines: 2-0

Shrewsbury v Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday have not been getting much of the spotlight recently but they are in the play-off places in the Championship and, under Carlos Carvalhal, they are a really good footballing side.

The Owls are strong going forward and they will have too much for Shrewsbury, who gave Chelsea a scare in the Capital One Cup earlier in the season but are struggling at the foot of League One.

Lawro’s prediction: 0-2

The Libertines: 0-1

West Brom v Peterborough

This is an interesting match-up because West Brom boss Tony Pulis and his Peterborough counterpart Graham Westley are not too dissimilar in terms of the way their teams play.

Both of them prefer functional football to anything too expressive, but the Baggies should make their Premier League class tell.

Lawro’s prediction: 2-0

The Libertines: 4-0

Liverpool v West Ham (17:30 GMT)

I am at Anfield for this game and expecting to hear a few songs from the travelling West Ham supporters who have been unhappy with my predictions – I will give them a wave.

The Hammers have beaten Liverpool twice this season in the Premier League with an aggregate score of 5-0, so they definitely know how to play against them.

Media playback is not supported on this device

Who are the Premier League’s most injured players?

The question is, will Liverpool have learned from what happened in those games? I don’t think they will be as bad as they were at Upton Park earlier this month.

I also think reaching the Capital One Cup final will lift everybody in Jurgen Klopp’s squad, and bring extra competition for places.

So I am going to go for a Liverpool win, which will really please my new West Ham friends.

Lawro’s prediction: 2-1

The Libertines: 2-0


Carlisle v Everton (13:30 GMT)

This match is live on BBC One and the BBC website. There will also be a live text commentary.

It is great to have Carlisle back home at Brunton Park after the floods and this is their second big cup game of the season after they took Liverpool to penalties at Anfield in September.

Media playback is not supported on this device

New pitch is laid for flood-hit Carlisle Utd

Everton will probably make a lot of changes to the team that lost to Manchester City in their Capital One cup semi-final on Wednesday, but do I see a shock happening here? No – the gap from 12th in the Premier League to 11th in League Two will be too big.

Toffees boss Roberto Martinez is under pressure because of his side’s poor league form and because, whisper it, people say his Everton side are like his old Wigan team but with better players.

That is slightly harsh in my opinion but they do have problems at the back, and they have stopped winning games – they have won just one in 10 in the Premier League – although they should get through here.

Lawro’s prediction: 1-2

The Libertines: 0-2

MK Dons v Chelsea (16:00 GMT)

I am a big fan of MK Dons boss Karl Robinson, who has been successful in the lower leagues while playing some really nice football and developing young players like Tottenham’s Dele Alli.

Media playback is not supported on this device

Pato arrives in London

But Chelsea have got their spark and their strut back under interim manager Guus Hiddink, who is undefeated in seven games since taking over from Jose Mourinho. I do not see that run ending on Sunday.

Lawro’s prediction: 0-2

The Libertines: 6-0

Lawro was speaking to BBC Sport’s Chris Bevan.

Lawro’s best score: 160 points (week 19 v Guy Mowbray)

Lawro’s worst score: 20 points (week one v Graeme Swann and week 23 v Ice Cube and Kevin Hart)

comments powered by Disqus